Emerging Markets Vs. the S&P500 - December 11,2023
- Peter Schenk
- Dec 11, 2023
- 1 min read
Today's chart is one that has been on my Weekly Watch List, since I've been screening charts. It is the Emerging Markets ETF vs. the US S&P500. This week Charlie Bilello, at Creative Planning, made some nice notations on it so I'll just go with that, with credit to Charlie.
While I believe today that "Emerging Markets" is too broad a brush, as many specific geographic regions seem ready to outperform dramatically over the rest of this decade, and broad categorization will be a distraction, it's worth casting a global view sometimes.
Below is one of my favorite quotes of all time. I transcribed this from an interview I heard with Jeremy Grantham on CNBC in November, 2010. It demonstrates the value and importance of monitoring for Relative Strength in portfolio diversification.
My working theory is that Emerging Markets will experience a massive boom this decade. This, potential, outcome was triggered by their effective emancipation from the $US dollar system after the G7 shut down the Bretton Woods II money system by sanctioning Russia's foreign exchange reserves in early 2022.
Big shifts are happening, and this chart is worth watching. I expect another leg higher in the Relative Strength of some geographies in the "Emerging Markets" basket of nations over the second half of this decade.








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